Posted by GreggS


Underground Resume Ranking Report – Week 6

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(Through the games of Oct. 4)

“Craig, you’re making noises over there.”

This week’s rankings are brought to you by our generous sponsors:
Craig James’ unexplainable odd noises
The Wannstache’s coaching lifeline

Top 25 Rating Change
1. Alabama 60.39 ↔
2. Vanderbilt 61.01 ↔
3. USC 65.67 ↑2
4. Utah 73.92 ↓1
5. Georgia 78.67 ↓1
6. Penn State 79.19 ↑5
7. Texas 79.37 ↔
8. Missouri 86.52 ↑18
9. Oklahoma 86.8 ↓1
10. Northwestern 87.69 ↓4
11. North Carolina 88.28 ↑7
12. Ohio State 90.67 ↑9
13. LSU 91.2 ↓4
14. Ball State 91.61 ↑2
15. Wake Forest 92.76 ↑7
16. Michigan State 96.3 ↑7
17. Texas Tech 96.95 ↑8
18. Notre Dame 97.03 ↑1
19. Boise State 104.35 ↓9
20. Oklahoma State 104.79 ↔
21. BYU 105.29 ↓6
22. Tulsa 108.54 ↑4
23. Nebraska 109.13 ↑1
24. Minnesota 110.63 ↑2
25. Duke 110.73 ↑1

Dropped: Connecticut, South Florida, Auburn, Virginia Tech

Just Missed: TCU, Connecticut, Illinois, Florida, Virginia Tech, Oregon, Oregon State

Conference Rankings
(central mean)
SEC 128.86
Big Ten 136.22
Big 12 137.93
ACC 156.42
Pac 10 166.91
Big East 187.33
MWC 196.59
WAC 214.82
Sun Belt 292.74
CUSA 296.76
MAC 302.51

Comments, Concerns, and General Shenanigans

Thursdays are for losing
Like last year’s unlucky #2 ranking, this year it seems to be dangerous to be a favorite playing on a Thursday night. Break out the conspiracies that ESPN is paying teams to give them compelling games. South Carolina, Rutgers, Kansas State, USC, and now South Florida, have all lost on Thursday night this season. Add in Oregon State almost pulling off two in a row this week and it looks like we’ve got a clear trend. Is Wake Forest the next to go down?

Oddities and Eccentricities
We’re finally getting enough accumulated data that the rankings are starting to look pretty respectable. Northwestern is still up there, although they dropped a few spots with a bye. Minnesota somehow snuck into the bottom of the ranking. Granted, they are 5-1, but their mathematical best win is against Bowling Green. They travel to Illinois this weekend, so a win there (which won’t happen) would validate the current ranking.

Racking up the mileage
The biggest mover by a landslide this week is Missouri after their absolute shellacking of Nebraska and the ensuing playground-style name calling between Chase Daniels and Bo Pelini. Speaking of that game, we already know someone’s going to call us out on Nebraska moving up one spot. We covered some of it last week when Georgia moved up after losing, but we’ll say it again: look at the entire season’s resume, not just the results from last week.

Conference Wars
There were only two moves this week in the conference rankings. The ACC moved ahead of the Pac 10, mostly due to the black hole of football that is the state of Washington. Also, the Mountain West Conference has finally relinquished their spot in the middle of the BCS conferences. The conference still boasts three very good teams in Utah, BYU, and TCU, but the rest of the conference is starting to weigh them down too much.

Bottom of the Barrel
Speaking of the state of Washington, we felt it would be interesting to look at who ranks at the bottom of the FBS with the UR3 formula. Washington and North Texas share the bottom spot by default for failing to schedule a cupcake easy enough to pick up a win. After that, we get in order from the bottom-up: Idaho, UL-Monroe, UAB, Kent State, and Ohio University.

That’s it for this week. Happy weekending!


Underground Resume Ranking – Week 5

Sports 2 Comments
Top 25 Rating Change
1. Alabama 60.02 ↑6
2. Vanderbilt 63.03 ↑7
3. Utah 79.21 ↑5
4. Georgia 81.36 ↑1
5. USC 82.6 ↓4
6. Northwestern 84.36 ↑16
7. Texas 84.4 ↑19
8. Oklahoma 87.23 ↑12
9. LSU 87.85 ↑1
10. Boise State 89.77 ↑3
11. Penn State 89.87 ↑15
12. Connecticut 92.85 ↑7
13. South Florida 94.54 ↑13
14. Auburn 94.88 ↑4
15. BYU 96.23 ↓3
16. Ball State 96.58 ↓2
17. Virginia Tech 97.4 ↓2
18. North Carolina 98.87 ↑8
19. Notre Dame 101.4 ↑5
20. Oklahoma St. 103.53 ↑6
21. Ohio State 103.76 ↔
22. Wake Forest 104.07 ↓20
23. Michigan State 106.05 ↑3
24. Nebraska 106.53 ↑1
25. Texas Tech 106.91 ↑1

Dropped: Florida, Wisconsin, UCLA, Colorado, Fresno State, Georgia Tech, UNLV

Just Missed: Oregon, Missouri, Oregon State, TCU, Duke, Fresno State, Florida

Conference Rankings
(central mean)
SEC 122.42
Big Ten 132.62
Big 12 134.24
Pac 10 139.89
ACC 155.65
MWC 166.69
Big East 178.84
WAC 204.50
Sun Belt 239.32
CUSA 256.04
MAC 287.81

Comments, Concerns, and General Shenanigans

Adventures in Wack-Balloteering
Does anyone want to win the national championship? Realllllly? You could’ve fooled us this past weekend with USC, Florida, Wisconsin, Wake Forest, and Georgia all losing. Our guess is that they all decided to play a practical joke on us to make our job hard. The good news is that, five weeks into the season, the rankings are starting to make a bit more sense, even with the attempts of the aforementioned teams to screw with us. There are still a couple strange ones in the rankings, but slowly things are starting to look clearer.

Oddities and Eccentricities
At least UCLA is gone. This week’s oddball is probably Northwestern, but for a different reason than UCLA was last week. Northwestern has certainly earned the ranking, and not through a loophole in the formula, but really? Northwestern? They’ve beaten Duke and Iowa, but we’re still not sure how that ranks the Wildcats so high. They’re off this weekend, which unfortunately means they’ll stay in the rankings for another week.

Racking up the mileage
The biggest positive mover of the week is Texas, after their win over Arkansas. It’s not the most impressive of wins, considering Oklahoma thoroughly dominated a very good TCU team and Alabama led Georgia by 31 at the half IN ATHENS. The important thing to remember is that these rankings are relative, so even though Bama only gained 6 spots, a) they couldn’t have gained any more, and b) their rating dropped a fairly substantial 12 points. Other winners this week include Northwestern and Penn State, who both won moderately valuable conference wins, and South Florida, whose win over NC State somehow vaulted them into 13th from outside the top 25 last week.

Conference Wars
Overall there’s not too much change in the conference rankings this week. The Big 10 jumped up to 2nd, but we’re 100% sure that’s due to conference play beginning. The Mountain West Conference is starting to fall, probably for the same reason.

Loophole Watch
Washington’s the only team left that exploited the loophole, sitting in approximately the 7th spot. Somehow a loss to Stanford wasn’t enough to kick them out for good, but it’s probably good enough to spell the end of Ty Willingham’s tenure at the helm.


Underground Resume Ranking Report – Week 4

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“It’s mass confusion down here. Just a mess.”
This week’s rankings brought to you by the ghost of Bill Stewart’s coaching career.

Top 25 Rating Change
1. USC 39.5 ↔
2. Wake Forest 46.15 ↑1
3. Florida 53.41 ↑1
4. Wisconsin 69.41 ↑4
5. Georgia 70.36 ↔
6. UCLA 72 ↑20
7. Alabama 72.86 ↑3
8. Utah 73.17 ↑5
9. Vanderbilt 75.61 ↓3
10. LSU 78.07 ↑16
11. Colorado 79.67 ↑10
12. BYU 87.31 ↓3
13. Boise State 91.74 ↑13
14. Ball State 93.11 ↑8
15. Virginia Tech 95.07 ↑1
16. Fresno State 95.22 ↑10
17. Georgia Tech 95.41 ↔
18. Auburn 96.74 ↓7
19. Connecticut 97.56 ↓1
20. Oklahoma 100.07 ↓6
21. Ohio State 101.67 ↑5
22. Northwestern 103.31 ↑2
23. UNLV 104.07 ↑3
24. Notre Dame 110 ↓17
25. Nebraska 111 ↓6

Dropped: East Carolina, Oregon, South Florida, North Carolina, Minnesota, Southern Miss

Just Missed: Minnesota, Oregon, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, South Florida, Kentucky

Conference Rankings
(central mean)
SEC 116.25
ACC 128.64
Pac 10 131.59
MWC 135.84
Big 10 139.75
Big 12 144
Big East 159.11
Sun Belt 197
WAC 197.65
CUSA 231.85
MAC 249

Comments, Concerns, and General Shenanigans

Mass confusion?
Yeah, the rankings are still a bit of a mess, but they’re slowly working themselves out.  There’s much less movement going on this week and once the major conference play begins, there will even less crazy fluctuations.

His Coachness can even charm a computer
We’re sure the first thing you noticed is the very conspicuous presence of UCLA in 6th.  No, it’s not a typo. No, we don’t believe UCLA has the 6th best resume in the nation.  Yes, UCLA really did earn that rating.  How?  Strength of schedule.  Exhibit A: the win over Tennessee.  Exhibit B: losses to BYU and Arizona.  This gives them roughly the 3rd toughest schedule to date in FBS football (more on that later).  This rating won’t last, however.  A loss against Fresno State this week (again, UCLA has a very tough schedule) will raise their rating to somewhere between 110 and 120, depending on other results.  If UCLA wins, they’ll maintain about the same rating.  Don’t worry; if UCLA is emphatically not a good team, the system will work it out as more games get played.

Racking up the mileage
There’s a couple big movers this week besides the aforementioned UCLA.  LSU jumps from off the board to the #10 spot based on their win over Auburn, who dropped 7 spots to 18.  Boise State’s upset of Oregon moves them from off the board to lucky #13 while Notre Dame’s loss to Michigan State drops Touchdown Jesus 17 spots.

Conference Wars
There seems to be an impostor amongst the power conferences this season.  The Mountain West Conference is having a nice early run this season, including the spanking of 4 Pac 10 teams last weekend.  Combine this across-the-board success with a potential BCS-buster in BYU and you have the makings of a surprise conference ranking.  As far as the power conferences go, the SEC seems to be dominating.  The SEC has also played in-conference games, thus raising the strength of schedule for most teams.  Our guess is that it’s a little bit from column A, and a little bit from column B.

Thanks for playing
We’d like to give an honorable mention to 3 teams who managed to crack the top 25 (before our manual adjustment) without a win.  These 3 teams found the early season loophole, much like UCLA, by playing some ridiculous opening schedules.  Oregon, BYU, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Tulsa, LSU, Kansas, Iowa, and South Florida each had a chance to pad their schedules against these teams.  So here’s to you, Washington, North Texas, and Florida International, for offering yourselves up as sacrificial lambs.