September 10, 2009
Justin: starts with this
Daron: oh yes. I read that
Justin: A few pointsÂ 1. Michigan is going to have to score and 2. This may be the game that defines Donovan Warren
Daron: true. You know what was lost in the Notre Dame Airfest against Nevada? 39 rushes for 199 yards, when adjusted for sacks
Justin: hmm, that’s impressive
Daron: yeah.Â You know what isn’t lost, and is in fact, highlighted by the air fest?
Justin: Brandon Graham needs to be the animal that he can be
Daron: A 19.5 yard Average per Completion, which is ABSURD
Justin: that’s Le Effective
Daron: and, Nevada is a spread n’ shred (albeit out of different formations) team,Â Â that ND more or less stymied, Â Â only 158 on the ground so Mr. Forcier will need to be able to throw and Mr. Hemingway needs to prove that last week was no fluke, because no other receiver really stepped up
Daron: after Hemingwayâ€™s five-103-2, you have Mr. Koger next at 3-32-1
Justin: On offense, I think I’m most interested to see 2 things, both in the running game:Â 1. What Dennard Robinson looks like against some athletes and 2. If Brandon Minor can go
Daron: Yeah, minus his big run, Robinson’s numbers are 10 for 31.
Daron: it’ll be intriguing
Justin: if they try to dust off his arm a bit more
Daron: I think they have to
Justin: he proved rather ineffective
Daron: Nevada tried to get away with just the ground game, and Tenuta run blitzed them into nothingness
Justin: yeah. it was interesting to see RichRod through tons of looks out there. they showed some I Â and a good deal of Ace Two TEs
Daron: well, he has two serviceable ones. Seems reasonable. I think Odoms plays a larger role, beyond his 1 catch for 6 yards
Daron: Mr. Ezeh should replicate his breakfast from last Sat, as well, What with his 8 tackles, 1.5 tfl, 1 ff, and 1brup
Justin: I think Koger will turn into a relatively important part of the offense. And that Odoms will have to get more involved. We will also find out in a hurry if the Safeties are any good
Daron: Yep. Unless you can Penn State approach it with your d-line
Justin: yes, which would be nice
Daron: which, as young as it is, I think it’ll have moments of that, and moments of “GODDAMMIT”
Justin: Brandon Graham and Brandon Herron with Mike Martin
Daron: Craigery Roh, as well, from the Herron spot
Justin: Craig Roh had a ridiculous sack against WMU
Daron: he had .5 sacks
okay so your pick
Daron: You won’t like this, but I think ND, probably 30-24.
Justin: I’ll cut you in your sleep
Daron: I know this.Â I think that offense is good
Justin: Michigan wins a squeaker:Â 63-2
Daron: Honestly, I’m giving M’s defense some decent credit by keeping them at 30
it’s an offense with some explosion to it. And yes,Â clearly
Justin: then we are in agreement
Daron: clearly,Â M 63, ND -2.Â And not an earned 2, mind you. Pity two
Justin: you picked ND and Tennesee in the same week
may He show you no mercy if you pick Ohio State
September 10, 2009
This week BF Sports has two new bloggers: Daron & Justin. They are going to start out with a preview of a couple of college football games for this upcoming weekend. Justin and I have been friends since something like 2nd grade. Daron lived with Justin after college. The both, as you’ll quickly realize, know a ton about college football, and probably everything. For reference, Justin attended Maryland and Daron went to Vanderbilt.
Note: The unbiasedness of the picks does not apply when Ohio State or Tennessee is involved.
September 10, 2009
Daron: well,Â Cuse actually looked like a football team on Saturday.Â I was impressed by the difference a mildly competent quarterback and new coach (and unsuspended Mike Williams) could all make.Â Until that essentially game ending pick he threw in ot, Paulus looked good and the defense played like there was a point to them being on the field. NowÂ Â obviously, this is against a Minnesota team that no one really can get a bead on in terms of how good they actually are.
Justin: I watched the first half of that game and it was indeed a semi-competent looking Syracuse team. Paulus looked rusty, but un-lost, which was remarkable. I will also give them credit for some defense as Minnesota’s got some offensive weapons in Weber and Decker.
Daron: YeahÂ Decker was monstrous, but that was it
Justin: I mean, Syracuse hasn’t exactly been formidable on defense as of late
Daron: hahaha, truth
Justin: So some reason for hope. Perhaps.Â Paulus-based hope. Something wrong with that statement.Â And as for Penn State, Daaaaaarrylll looked (sounded? seemed?) sharp against Akron, good enough for POTW.
Daron: Â <gaaaaasp> they may have reloaded, somewhat, at the WR.
Justin: You know, i think receiver is a position that is overrated, dramatically.Â Everyone loves to have elite receivers, but its really not necessary for success. Especially in college
Daron: yeah.Â Â you need competence and the ability to catch. Worryingly for Penn State:
Wherefore art thou, ground game?Â 30 rushes for 136 yards
Justin: yeah you take away that carry from Daly, they have 29 carries for 99
Justin: < 100 against a mid-rate MAC team. Even with that many passing yards
Daron: truth. Royster had a respectable 4.3 ypc. If he was playing a BigTeleven team.Â NOT Akron
Justin: granted taking away the long run of the day is a bit (a lot) disingenuous thing to do
Daron: true. But it’s not when it’s not one of their two primary ball carriers
Justin: Also to be fair, Clark will likely carry the ball more in games that they can’t sleep walk through.
Daron: royster had 14 for 61, and green decided to showcase his big play ability with a seven for ten yards performance and that’s fair
Justin: The Defense of course did not disappoint by giving up a nice toasty 41 yd td,Â while also getting 4 sacks on 28 drop backs
Daron: they’re gonna be good, We all knew that.Â Big story, I guess, is they generated a pass rush but I think the play of Nate Stupar (in place of Bowman, who got a little dinged) was apparently pretty good (although, disclaimer, that may be taking BlackShoeDiaries too much at their word)
Justin: haha that’s fair. Holding a team under a yard per carry isn’t a bad achievement either.
Daron: TrueÂ Â although, looking at the box score:Â Â Nate Stupar: 8 solo, 4 assistedÂ led the teamÂ Â and a sack, so, sexy as they claimed
Justin: Indeed. Â So the two questions for this game are: 1. How much does Penn State win by?Â and 2. How long, in game time, does Paulus go before dying?
Daron: Here’s the thing:Â I think a score along the lines of 38-20 isn’t out of the question.Â But I’m wary for the same reasons as I was with Akron. Mildly competent passing? Could be a problem, particularly as Paulus was pretty elusive back there against the Gophers
Justin: Yeah, and Mike Williams is better than anyone that they faced last week
Daron: And PSU nullified their secondary concerns last week by simply making life in the pocket untenable
Justin: That’s gonna be the story of their season
Daron: yeah, no argument there. The dbs had three break ups, I believe
Justin: My prediction for the game is something in the neighborhood of 42-17
Daron: I like it
Justin: and that paulus is properly welcomed to college football by minute 12
Daron:Â Â I mean, I don’t see him getting knocked out of the game. I do see him taking some shots, but he’s slippery… I bet that he’s more often than not caught in the open field than in the pocket.
Justin: that’s fair. Seems like that’s probably enough on that stupid game.Â Â i think it’s gonna be uggggleeeee
Daron: hahaha, fair enough. I think PSU will look good offensively, and cuse gives ’em a game for 2.5 quarters